Ceruzzi:
Okay, I there, there are a number of reasons why people were skeptical. One of
them was the shear size of these machines. Think about the ENIAC, it would, it filled up a, a
large room at the University of Pennsylvania. And if you were going to sell these things, you
really had to think about how much room you had to set aside plus the, the, ah, power
consumption, the air conditioning requirements, all of those things that just seemed so
impractical compared to the kinds of, ah, installations the punch card equipment or calculating
machines that people were accustomed to. That was one reason. Let's consider another reason, the
fact that the machines worked so fast, up to about a thousand times faster than human beings
computing with mechanical calculators or with punch card equipment. What that meant was that,
once the computer was set up and fed a problem, it would very quickly solve that problem and
then sit around, still costing you money but with nothing to do because it had to sit and wait
for human beings to give it another problem to solve. In fact if you did a sort of basic
comparison of processing speeds, you would find that a single computer like the ENIAC if it
could be made to run for a week, would all of the problems of all human computing installations
in the entire United States for about six months. So it just seemed like a, an absurd
comparison, I guess, you could say. Ah, a third reason was the, the fact that the computers were
very difficult to program. You almost required a, an understanding of very advanced mathematics
or logic, ah, to even get the computer to add two numbers together. So you had to know that kind
of knowledge, plus you had to know the knowledge of the problem you wanted to solve, whatever it
might have been, whether it would be. [INTERRUPTION]
Okay, another reason was that, you have to consider the social environment in
which the computer was built. They were built by scientists, researchers, physicists who were
used to building research equipment that might have been very expensive but it was also
something that very few people had a need for. After all, how many large observatories are there
in the world? How many atom smashers are there in the world. How many wind tunnels are there in
the world. There's some but there's one on everybody's desktop. And there certainly one in every
small, little corner of business and, and academic life. And yet, this is what, precisely what
Eckert and Mauchly were proposing to do. So the people around them just didn't understand any
kind of climate in which there would be more of a market than that. And then the, a final reason
or another reason why there was some skepticism was the fact that, in order to program these
computers, you really had to understand advanced mathematics. And, [INTERRUPTION]. So these
researchers or scientists had a certain notion not only of who was an intended user or a typical
user of this machine, namely, very few people in very selected, top level research institutions
or universities in the country, but they also had a notion that the machines were good for a
very restricted class of mathematical problems and that they were not really that suitable for
the kind of day to day routine accounting work, let's say, that businesses needed. For that kind
of work, these people felt that the existing equipment, punch card equipment was fine. So, ah,
there was skepticism for that reason too. And then there was a reason that people, the objection
that, and then there was an objection that people raised that the programming of one of the
digital computers was extremely difficult. You had to have an understanding of fairly
sophisticated mathematics or electrical engineering to understand how to get the codes into the
machine that would then get that machine to do some kind of useful work. So, in other words, you
had to wear two hats: you had to know the problem you were going to solve, let's say you were
solving an inventory problem for a large business, you had to know all the details and the
little minutia of that problem, plus you had to know all about the intricacies of this called,
an electronic computer and what kind of memory it had, how fast a signal travels from here to
there. You had to know all that and somehow combine that expert knowledge in some kind of
creative way so that you could program the computer. If you couldn't do that, the computer
simply would sit there useless to you. And people felt that such a talent was so rare in the
world that it didn't matter if you could mass produce the computer, you would never find enough
people who had that skill to make them useful.