Farley:
Sure. Uh... the whole question of MIRVs, the...
multiple independently targetable, uh, reentry vehicles, uh, was a very
difficult one; and, uh, also one which was carefully studied, and well
studied, and then very hotly debated. And in comparison to some issues, the
ABM for example, uh, the emotional weight, uh, was very strong on some
people, uh, the American military and their civilian experts, for example,
attached a lot of importance to MIRVs. Uh, they saw MIRVs as a way in which
we would penetrate a Soviet ABM system if it were ever built; we saw it as a
way in which we could go on improving our forces without having to build a
lot more missiles and silos and submarines and all that, those other
expensive things; and then it was technically very advanced, very ingenious,
just the sort of thing we thought we inherently do better than the Soviets.
Now, I believe that the studies which were done showed that nevertheless it
was not in the American interest to pursue MIRVs; sure, we were ahead of the
Russians, but that's generally been the pattern. We develop a novel weapons
system; it takes them five, seven years to catch up, start, uh, producing
and deploying them; then there we both are, with higher levels of
destruction on each side. Now these things have some other disadvantages,
which I won't bother with. So we had this NSC meeting in which, After our
studies had been completed, and when it was apparent that there was not
going to be a consensus recommended to the president, the fact was that the
arms-control agency and the State Department favored a ban on MIRVs as
something which would make for a much more stable and safe strategic
balance, the military and the civilians in the Pentagon did not want to give
up MIRVs, did not see the necessity. The very distinguished general advisory
committee, it's a presidentially appointed body, had done its own
careful examination, with many expert people, uh, on the, uh, committee, I
need only mention Harold Brown, who was later Secretary of Defense and had
been the director of the Livermore Weapons Laboratory; General Norris, uh,
General Lauris Norstad, so, uh, quite a distinguished and, uh, diverse
group had concluded also that a MIRV ban, if it could be negotiated, was
desirable. And John McCloy, the chairman of the committee, was there to
report that conclusion of the advisory committee. Then the question was
raised: If you did have a MIRV ban, how would you verify it? And, uh, there
were answers to that question, though they were hotly disputed; but, uh, I
believe it was the president himself said, "Well, in view of this, uh,
sensitivity of this very key weapons system, where we have an important
lead, could we really rely on any method of monitoring in verifying a MIRV
ban which didn't rely just on things like following their tests, we're,
shouldn't we have on-site inspection?" And immediately McCloy agreed; he
said, "Yes, I think that that's not only something which would be prudent to
have, but I've thought for a long time that that's an important way to test
how serious the Soviets are. If they really believe in arms control, then
they'll open up and, uh, accept inspectors." Now, there is some logic to
that position, but, uh, I believe our technical studies had showed pretty
well that monitoring tests of missiles with MIRVs would have been a good
enough system, to, good enough verification method, to enable us to, uh,
enter safely into a MIRV ban. And given the state of the ability on the two
sides to expect the Soviet Union to accept inspection for the first time on
something as sensitive as this would have been unrealistic. It was in effect
a killer argument, and we never really pushed for a MIRV ban in SALT
I.