Interviewer:
THERE WAS ONE OTHER SORT OF MODERNIZATION DEBATE THAT YOU STARTED TO BE INVOLVED IN, THE
MODERNIZATION OF POLARIS. THERE'S TWO THINGS I'D LIKE TO ASK YOU ABOUT THAT. FIRST, WHAT SORT OF INFORMATION AND
ADVICE WERE YOU GETTING FROM THE UNITED STATES ABOUT THE MODERNIZATION OF POLARIS AND...
Owen:
Well, modernization of Polaris has a long history. It goes back to when I was uh...
Minister of the Navy in 1969. It began to be discussed, the need to have some extra work done on the warheads to
make them if not independently targetable, at least to give them some form of direction. And that was a project
which was called Antelope. And then when Ted Heath came into government, there was considerable pressure in '71 for
us to jump from Polaris into Poseidon. I was then on the select committee of... defense of foreign affairs, external
affairs. It was the first time ever...our nuclear force suits. And we came out against Poseidon at much the same
time as the Heath government also came out against Poseidon. But I, I don't know the truth about it because you
never seethe papers of previous governments but I've always assumed that the price of not going ahead with the
Poseidon was the decision to modernize the warhead of Polaris. And at that time, in '73, there was some logic to
that because you didn't have the ABM Treaty. There were the galosh anti-ballistic missile Soviet defenses around
Moscow. The odd decision really was after the '74 ABM Treaty to still carry on with the modernization of Polaris and
the so-called...project. That...project actually did go to the Labour cabinet. You read Barbara Cassell's(?) memoir.
She recalls in November '74, was obviously held back till after the second election. Uh, previously I think it
probably had been discussed by a small group of ministers. We went to the cabinet. It was priced at 215 million
pounds. As you know, it ended up like costing us a billion. And I first became aware of the existence of
the...project — well, I was vaguely aware that there was some modernization. If you read through the public
literatures, fairly well known that something was...when I became foreign secretary. Now, at that stage the cost of
escalating up so that the current estimate then was seven hundred million. We did seriously consider canceling it.
Now, many people have considered that discussion which was about cancellation as deciding to do it. That was not the
case at all. As I say, it started by the Heath government in '73, continued by the Wilson administration. Callaghan
administration only looked at it because of its cost escalation in '77. Now the reason that it was important, that
decision, was that Denis Healey was pretty skeptical about it. As chancellor, he had to pay for it. Jim was probably
in favor it, going ahead. But Fred Mulley didn't quite know which way I was going to go in the group of four
ministers. And I did a fairly crude trade-off with him. I personally couldn't see much case for... and would like to
believe — I'd been in '74, I've argued against it on ABM grounds, that the treaty no longer made it necessary. But
I, I trade with him that we endorsed the continuation for broadly political reasons. But this cancellation in fact
explains actually why we really wasted 700 million pounds. It wouldn't be very easy, particularly because I think
the right wing would have fastened on it, and the military would — some of the military wouldn't have liked it. But
in return we did not endorse the so-called Moscow criteria. And we put that, the right kicked into touch and
examined it again. Now officials were very worried about this because the right ones thought I was after because I
assumed that if you did not endorse the Moscow criteria you didn't thereby tie yourself into Trident. If you were
still keen to have a Moscow criteria, frankly you didn't need the ballistic missile system, or the sophistication of
Trident. And that turned out to be the next battle which sort of really came up in '78 when we had not endorsed the
Moscow criteria. We looked at the Polaris --