McCarthy:
In
the period of the
60’s
especially in the Kennedy
Administration after Diem was,
whatever, was assassinated or whatever happened to him, there was a
whole series of presidents, one after another, and usually as each one
was presented, it was said that he had put it together. And I recall
especially when General
Khanh was in, at a, at a
White House meeting when Rusk assured us that this was really a good
one. As I recall it was like Wednesday. And by Friday Khanh was out.
And
you had to assume that Rusk
was not trying to deceive us, because it would have been ludicrous to do
it, if he thought Khanh
was going to go. But he actually believed you, you have to accept that
Khanh was stable. And
if Rusk didn’t know on
Wednesday or Tuesday (whatever it was) that the Khanh government was likely
to go, that within a week, uh, you’d have to raise questions about the
next time Rusk told you
anything.
Uh,
so if he didn’t know any more about this than he knew about that uh, why
should we accept what he says. And, uh, the same thing then, it wasn’t
so bad as long as it was just political. But when we got into deeper and
deeper military involvement, particularly in ’66, the same similar questions began to arise as to whether or
not we actually had any assessment of what would be required by way of
military effort to gain whatever victory was, and especially, uh, when
we found that McNamara
didn’t know. Because he had the image, you know, of never making a, as
we said when he came in, he never made a small mistake. Ha, ha. It
looked as though the mistakes that, that would arise out Vietnam were
uh, would be small mistakes, and therefore you could count on McNamara.
And, and as I said, we’d go time after time he’d go read report
progress and so on, and time after time it’d be proved wrong, or he
would go over he’d make projections as to what would happen...and it,
and it wouldn’t happen. I think the one that, I thought was particularly
impertinent was early in ’66 when we were
bombing, when we were going to bomb. He said that with the bombing the
number that the North Vietnamese could infiltrate and supply would be
something like 4500 a month. And, uh, four or five moths later the
report was they were infiltrating and supplying 7,000.
So
he was off by roughly a hundred percent. Which is bad enough, but when
he was asked to explain it...he said the number they could infiltrate
has always been less than “x”, and “x” is a determinable number. So you
sit there and you look at him and you say, “Now, one of us is strange.”
I mean, uh, uh, if I accept that then I don’t know how I make any kind
of objective judgment. And rather than do that you have to wonder
whether he made any objective judgments. And I never really believed
anything he said after that, ‘cause a normal person would have said
Look, we missed it, you know; they’re tougher than we thought they were.
So,
when you got on to his next quantification, their systems analysis, the
margin of error, uh, which you had to allow to him, was—cause “x” could
be infinity minus one—was somewhere between one and infinity minus one,
which could have been “x”, and if you were allowing that margin of error
you never would have a point of department for making any judgment on
him. And I concluded that they, they didn’t know what they were doing.
And
then along with that was the disposition on the part of the
administration to begin to, to charge that, that anyone who challenged
them or criticized was somehow un-American and didn’t have a right to do
it. For patriotic reasons, and then the famous Katzenbach
presentation in which he, uh, said that uh even under the Constitution the Senate really didn’t have a right
to interfere uh with the conduct of foreign or military policy.
Uh,
that uh, in that case it was both the, the if theory was wrong, you had
to challenge it, even if the war had been going better; but when you put
the two together, the, the theory they were presenting is their
justification, a constitutional interpretation, and the military
reality, it seemed to me you had two bases upon which to challenge. And,
uh, it was about that time that I began to think that, uh, we had to do
something.