Go to 2431. Turn. Mark it.
Forty one. Clap sticks.
Bui Diem:
For a period of ah let's say nine months and one year after the signing of the Paris Agreement, there was a period of comparatively calm in South Vietnam. But, immediately after that the situation gradually deteriorated.
First of all, the inflation was up to fifty and sixty percent, and the the diminishment of...in terms of ah American economic aid and, most importantly, military aid, because we couldn't replace the spare parts, and ah we have not enough oil to fly the planes, and ahm, the Communists intensified their attacks along the corridor of ah the eh
Laos and
Cambodian border and ah the political opposition in South Vietnam became quite, quite vocal. So, it was quite a dangerous situation.
But somehow, it was eh rather an unreal atmosphere ahhh—unreal atmosphere in the sense that we went through a lot of crisis before that. We went through a kind of military offensive at the Tet '68. We went through the kind of military offensive from the North in '72 and ah the Communists came quite close to take over South Vietnam, but somehow, we survive.
And, so, there was an unreal atmosphere in the sense that we believe that somehow we could get out of it and it explained to a certain degree the kind of psychological shock after the withdrawal from
Pleiku and
Kon Tum and after the debacle in
Da Nang and in
Hue. So, unreal atmosphere in spite of a lot of difficult problems, almost unsurmountable problems for South Vietnam.
Cut. Cut. Mark it. Forty two. Clapsticks.
Bui Diem:
Obviously, Vietnam had a lot of problems even before '75. After the Paris Agreement we had a period of comparatively calm for almost nine and twelve months and after that the situation gradually deteriorated.
The situation deteriorated, not only on the military field, because the Communist intensified their attacks, but on the political, economic and social fronts too. The situation deteriorated because we had no more at the previous level the US economic aid, and the inflation was by then up to fifty and sixty percent per year.
More than that, in the political opposition to Mr. Thieu's government became very, very vocal by then. So, all eh these difficulties combined together made the situation very, very dangerous.
And, precisely at this time, the Communist set up to launch their offensive in
March 1975. To a certain degree, they succeeded by the kind of mistakes committed by the South Vietnamese themselves. I am talking about the withdrawal from
Pleiku and
Kon Tum. This withdrawal from
Pleiku and
Kon Tum, whether it was a kind of tactical or strategic withdrawal, the military strategists and tacticians would argue about it. But, somehow, it provoked a kind of psychological effect on South Vietnam in general.
The withdrawal alone with hundreds of thousands of refugees along the road that described by the press and seen on TV, and in the same time, immediately after that the the debacle in
Hue and in
Da Nang created an impression that the collapse is coming. And, everyone was running to some sort of cover.
If South Vietnam was helped by them, perhaps it would be...a kind of boost in morale, and by then the Vietnamese the South Vietnamese, I mean, could stand longer. To what extent they could stand against the Communist offensive prepare by the South Vietnamese, how long they could stand it, that is an open question. And, it is a matter of, I would say right now, open debated right now.
But, South Vietnam by then had a lot of difficulties, of course, but in the same time, there is a combination of very unfortunate circumstances. And, this kind of unfortunate circumstances came from the psychological shock provoked, by the debacle in
Pleiku and
Kon Tum and in
Da Nang and
Hue.