Dougherty:
Well this decision was made by a lot of people and I was just part of the
process, not the whole of the process, by any means. Technology was moving. There was a new
guidance system, Northrop was developing it. It promised to be very good, it is very good.
Unfortunately they are late in delivering some of them so there's a current brouhaha over some
guidance systems not delivered... In this development of the, of the MX, this was, the decision
was taken by many people. I was just part of the process. An interested part, because it was to
my command that the weapon was going to go eventually. But technology was moving, guidance
system technology particularly was moving. Also we learned a lot about solid propulsion. We
learned a lot about how things, to keep things from getting sticky and gummy and how to keep our
missile holes dry and how to keep our missiles reliable. Now we'd been pretty good. We kept
reliability on alert in the holes up around 98 percent. We thought we could do even better than
that. Also the target system was expanding dramatically. Now this is very hard for a person to
accept who doesn't follow it each day, or who thinks we are all good country boys and we're just
rural agrarians and we're all just getting along fine and why do we look for trouble. But the
Soviets were going harder and harder and harder and they were getting to the point that their
hardness and our accuracy was no longer a match. It was a mismatch. Our accuracy was not great
enough in many instances to get inside the sanctuary provided by their hardness. We had to have
more accuracy and we had to have a warhead to go with that accuracy that could at least put at
risk their primary weapon system. Not all of them. We've never come close to that. Not all of
them but the primary ones. At the right time, in a manner that they could not deny, that they
were at risk. So we had to have some better accuracy. This was the way to get it. And we had to
have more numbers. When we laid out a war plan I guarantee you the Minuteman IIIs went just like
that, because they were the weapons systems that the war planner wanted to apply to X, Y, and Z
target because that was the way to get them, or way to be sure of getting a desired result. So,
the way to do that was multiple warheads and to use existing basing modes. And that's why there
was much discussion over what kind of weapon to design. And about this time the accuracy of the
Soviet warheads began to increase as dramatically as did the hardness of their silo basing. A
point not well understood. In fact, it came as quite a shocker to the American people ten years
ago when it was announced publicly that, ten years or more, that the Soviets have achieved, had
achieved a degree of accuracy better than hours. You know, it must, a lot of people say, Oh, it
can't be, they must be kidding. We weren't kidding. They achieved an accuracy better than ours.
And the reverse was again true. Our degree of hardness of our missile silos and their degree of
accuracy now meant that our hardened missile sites were no longer in sanctuary because of their
hardness. So, we had to either make a move or make them harder or accept a degree of
vulnerability. And that caused quite an internal discussion. A lot of people just didn't want to
put anything else in fixed sites because fixed sites were almost by definition vulnerable to
some kind of attack. That's true. But a lot of some kind of an attack before you get them all.
So I thought about this and I tried to bring to bear the thing I mentioned ago, a minute ago,
about all the things I'd studied and tried to learn about my profession, and what it was trying
to do. And the first instance was to keep a war from happening, and how to go about that. And
how to posture a force that was 98 or 99 percent alert, right on the other end of a, of an alert
signal and command and could be fired out from under any sort of attack. And I said let's put
them in the silos. Let's improve the hardening of the silo, not make them immortal, but let's
improve them and let's put the Minuteman in there with ten warheads, or the MX. Let's expand it
to a size that will fit the silo without major construction. And we started down that road and
we didn't get very far because the old survival bugaboo. We had shot ourself in the foot. We had
made such a case over the necessity to be invulnerable from attack that we found ourself frying
in our own oil, I suppose you'd say. And my argument wasn't strong enough. So we started trying
to make the missile mobile. Now there's an axiom here that's worth saying. It will some day go
by the board as warhead maneuverability improves, but the old saying say, "The only thing you
have to do to make something relatively invulnerable from an intercontinental ballistic missile,
is to make it move. And move it." Absent a maneuverable re-entry vehicle, that's true. So
everybody says, why don't we make our missile move? Well, the MX was not the right missile to
make move. It was too big, it was not designed as a mobile missile, and to make it mobile we had
to create a monstrosity. We could have done it, you know, we've created big things and moved
them around before. But I have to admit that it looked a little gee whiz when you thought about
running it around the desert. And running it up and down in tunnels. We could have done it and
we would have done it but it developed a political opposition. So we looked at something like 93
or 94 different methods of basing this missile, all of which had some problem, some support,
some opposition. Most of which were absurd and we threw those away pretty quickly, but at least
we ran them down. And we constantly went back to the rail mobile. This is one we had up in 1960,
61, 62, pretty far along. The condition of our railroad tracks made a lot more sense in 61, 62
than today but we can handle that too. That's manageable. But, to me there is a profound logic
to putting these missiles in the ground as well as a tremendous economy to putting them in the
ground. First they're put in the ground right in the heart of what it's all about. Put them
right in the center of the United States. Because that's the reflected deterrence you want. You
want an unambiguous assurance that they are going to respond to an unambiguous attack. And
they're going to respond in time that they will not nearly all be lost if we will put a
sufficient number of them out there. What's a sufficient number? To me it's something over 100.
But the military has agreed to 100. With ten warheads. That's a thousand warheads to threaten
1000 potential targets in the Soviet Union requiring accuracy and yield combinations that
missile gets. In a fire mode and in a fire readiness that can fire out from under an attack.
That's not a first strike and I don't mean to say first strike. I mean when there is clear-cut
unambiguous indication of the kind of massive attack that threatens those weapons, they can fire
out and the Soviet knows they can. And knows they will because you're not attacking some remote,
detached force at some distance from the heartland. Or we call it log(?), R-E-S, the RES. You
know, you put these weapons right in the, in the middle of the RES and there can be no doubt of
their deterrent ability. And that's what you want in the first place. So why not take advantage
of the psychology of that kind of location. And the economy of doing it, and then the command
and control simplicity of putting them where there can be no doubt of their ability to receive
and respond quickly to a signal. They are not out remote, out of, out of sight and sound. They
are right where you touch them, can talk to them, five different ways, hard line. You can use
COAX, you can use any amount of communication to assure they've got to get the word. Now. To me
that's bedrock. It's not the only thing you must do because God help us if we ever get so tied
up in the economy of scale that we try to have a single mode deterrent force. We must have
multiple modes. But that's the bedrock on which to build. And without that bedrock we're going
to chase our tail a dozen different ways in birds that are in the bush and things that might be,
and numbers that might eventuate. And we can do that far more securely if we will do it from a
position of having this kind of bedrock force. I wouldn't stop with that.