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Series: War and Peace in the Nuclear Age
Program: Have and Have-nots
Episode: 108
Date: 1987-02-18
Duration: 00:01:19
Subject: Canada; France; World War II (1939-1945); Nagasaki (Japan); Hiroshima (Japan); Soviet Union; Warfare, Conventional; United Nations; Great Britain; India; Pakistan; Nuclear reactors; Alamogordo (N.M.); Sputnik; Physicists; University of Cambridge; Bangalore (India); Nuclear energy; Manhattan Project (U.S.); Nuclear fission; International Atomic Energy Agency; Iran-Iraq War 1980-1988
People: Menon, M. G. K. (Mambillikalathil Govind Kumar), 1928- ; Bhabha, Homi Jehangir, 1909-1966
Geography: New Delhi (India)
Copyright Holder: WGBH
Clip Description
From 1988 to 1993 nuclear physicist Mambillkalathil Govind Kumar Menon was president of the International Council of Scientific Unions, a non-governmental organization long involved in environmental and development issues. He was also India's minister of state for science and technology from 1986 to 1989, and he served in the Parliament from 1990 to 1996. In this video segment, Menon describes the euphoria following World War II when international cooperation on atomic science and technology flourished.
In the interview Menon conducted for War and Peace in the Nuclear Age: "The Have and Have-nots," he offers reflections on the dynamic and visionary nuclear physicist Dr. Homi Bhabha. Dr. Bhabha saw the possibility for the modern development of India in creating programs that would harness the newly emerging technology of nuclear energy. Menon captures the zeal of scientists at the first United Nations Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy. He also defines some basic nuclear processes and principles: how fission works, controlled and uncontrolled chain reactions, and the difference between generating nuclear energy and manufacturing weapons. In 1974, under the prime ministership of Indira Gandhi, India conducted an underground nuclear test. Menon defends what India called a peaceful nuclear explosion as a means to explore enhanced mining techniques and other feats of large-scale underground nuclear engineering. With equal enthusiasm, Menon describes the possibilities of India's space program for expanding telecommunications and gathering data for water- and land-resource management. The global threat, he maintains, is not India but a nuclear exchange between the two superpowers. Paraphrasing Indira Gandhi, Menon concludes, "What we want is not to make deserts but to make deserts bloom."
Program Description
This program explored efforts to contain and direct nuclear technology as well as responses by non-nuclear nations to pressures and inducements by the superpowers. Not long after they acquired hydrogen bombs, the United States and the Soviet Union began "Atoms for Peace" programs in order to share atomic know-how with their allies and, hopefully, prevent military use of these nuclear-energy programs. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, signed in 1968, was intended to halt the spread of nuclear weapons and put in place safeguards to prevent the diversion of nuclear materials for weapons programs. The standoff between Taiwan and China, the South Asia arms race, the India-Pakistan War in 1971, and the conflict in the Middle East all heightened anxiety that a regional conflict could go nuclear. Ultimately, some of these nations found the double standard unacceptable. The very countries that were developing and stockpiling increasingly dangerous weapons were simultaneously trying to quash the nuclear ambitions of threshold nations. The specter of proliferation would continue to haunt the nuclear age.
Written and produced by Sue Crowther. First broadcast March 13, 1989.
Series Description
War and Peace in the Nuclear Age, first broadcast in 1989, is a thirteen-part PBS series on the origins and evolution of nuclear competition between the United States and the former Soviet Union. The series examined the rivalry for power and how it shaped the diplomacy, negotiation, ethical debates, and doctrine of deterrence that ran through the forty-year history of the nuclear age. The programs' purpose was to reconstruct the dynamics that shaped the thinking of the time and the decisions made by the prevailing world leaders. The series relied heavily on contemporary interviews with key American, Soviet, Asian, and European participants who discussed the dilemmas confronted by world leaders, military strategists, scientists, and the public at large at the time. War and Peace in the Nuclear Age was produced for PBS by WGBH Boston and Central Television Independent Television, in association with NHK. Major funding was provided by the Annenberg/CPB Project. Senior producer-Elizabeth Deane. Executive producer-Zvi Dor-Ner.
United Nations Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy
To Make Deserts Bloom
The development and use of technologies in India's nuclear program
The advances of India's nuclear energy and space programs
The hope of India's nuclear program
Homi Bhabha's contributions to India's nuclear energy program
Interviewer
Professor Menon, if we could start, if you would like to describe for me your current role in the science advisor and government. Would you just describe to me your current role.
Menon
Well presently, my designation is Science Advisor to the Prime Minister, and Member of the Planning Commission of the Government of India. I am also a member of the Atomic Energy Commission and ah in that sense, I am connected with the nuclear program of the country. And of course in some sense, I've had a link with it from a little over thirty years ago when I returned to India from England where I was doing research, and joined Homi Bhabha.
Interviewer
Can you tell me something about those early days? What was the atmosphere at the time among the young scientists in India?
Menon
Well as far as ahm the atmosphere was concerned, it was definitely a very exhilorating one. There was ah sense of elan because ah Homi Bhabha was a very dynamic figure. He had many qualities. First of course ah I was aware of his background as a theoretical physicist. He did some spectaculor work during the 1930's and '40's. Primarily related to cosmic rays, elementary particles, high energy physics, and the theoretical aspects of these fields. And I have no doubt that he was one of those who had he continued to work in pure science would have won a Nobel Prize. So he was in that category as a physicist. He was, of course, also a person with very broad interests. He was, as many are aware, an artist himself. He used to do exceedingly good pencil sketches. He did paintings. Very interested in music. Interested both in ah aspects of art from the West and from India. And ah Indian, one of the individuals whose interests covered both science and the humanities. Extensively travelled, and ahm very wonderful conversationalist, very dynamic leader.
Interviewer
Who were his mentors?
Menon
Well Homi, of course, ahm had his early education in India, in the sense of school and the early stages of college. But went to Cambridge at a very impressionable age. And he was at the University of Cambridge in perhaps one of the finest periods for physics in Cambridge. The days of Rutherford, and of course, the great theoretical work of men like Dirac and ahm a place where one interacted with people like Kapitza and Blackett. The whole range of people who were around in the Cavendish laboratory in the 1930's. And apart from that, he traveled around in Europe. He spent time at Zurich with Pauli. In Rome with, in fact with Fermi. In Copenhagen with the Neils Bohr School. And ahm, so he had quite extensive contacts with all that represented some of the finest in physics of the 1930's before he came back to India. War broke out, and therefore he stayed on. Otherwise perhaps he would have gone back to Cambridge, gone back to Europe or America, and ah maybe continued with the science there.
Interviewer
Could you describe his chief contribution to India's atomic energy program?
Menon
Well perhaps the most important element is the fact that he envisioned it. And that was, I think quite a remarkable story in the sense that he was working in Bangelore, continuing with his pure research, largely mathamatical. And some experiment to work relating to cosmic rays. When he thought it was important to set up in India, an institution, a program of work, in what he felt were the really modern rapidly developing areas of science, which was really modern theoretical physics, quantum mechanics, nuclear physics, studies relating to high energy, physics and elementary particles, cosmic rays, and so on. And that is when he wrote his ah, now famous letter to the Tata trust. And in particular there was a letter which he wrote in March 1944. And this was ahm, as you know well before the world got to know about the Alamagordo test, or Hiroshima, and Nagasaki of 1945. And in that letter, he had even stated. And I would quote from it. "That when nuclear power comes about, India will not have to look abroad for it's experts." So in a certain sense, even in 1944, he had envisioned the possibility of nuclear power and the fact that if we were to take advantage of this new possibility, we would have to have enough manpower experts. And if we set up institutions in these areas, then one would generate these experts and have them available. So that was the beginning of the Tata Institute of Fundamental Research which was actually set up in 1945 and ah became as Dr. Bhabha called it, the cradle of the Indian atomic energy program.
Interviewer
Now what other visions did he have for India's nuclear program? I always think of the three steps in the development?
Menon
Well I think his ahm basic concepts were very clear. The first, that power energy was essential for development. And he traced the manner in which the development in society was closely related to availability of energy in society. Second, that as far as India was concerned, it had a very low per capita consumption of power. It's about 18KWH in 1950. The total power generation of about 2,300 megawatts. And he said that at this level you will never have real modern development. Therefore, India's need, apart from everything else, was to insure that more energy was available, for all purposes: industry, agriculture, services, and so on. He also showed that this increase in power availability could not come about by dependence on coal alone, or even hydroelectricity. Because India did have a fairly large reserves of coal, but when you considered it in terms of per capita availability, you only had something like about 100 tons. Similarly, India has fairly large hydro potential. And only a small fraction of it was tapped at that stage. Even then, one could show that a large part of the untapped hydro potential, was in difficult areas. So one could more or less estimate how much you could get from coal, and from hydroelectricity. And that stage, India didn't have too much in terms of it's own ah oil, and gas ah availability. Of course it has more of it today, we use it for other purposes, but not for what one would call power generation. That is why he felt that this new source of power, this new potential of nuclear energy should be exploited to the full. And he felt that this could be done in a succession of steps.
Interviewer
Is it possible just to summarize that? The three explanations you've just given for why he was supportive of the nuclear energy for India. Is it possible to make it just a bit briefer that India was energy poor.
Menon
Bhabha was convinced that energy was essential for development. At the time, soon after independence when he was writing about these issues, India had a per capita availability of 18KWH of power. And this was extremely low. And his thesis was every effort should be made to rapidly increase this availability. He also showed that where as India had large reserves of coal, the per capita availability, because the large population was only a hundred tons. There was hydro power available. And large part of it in very difficult areas for exploitation. And he therefore felt that the new potential of nuclear energy should be exploited to the fullest.
Interviewer
So what were the goals then of the early atomic energy program. How did you set out to accomplish those goals?
Menon
He felt that ahm, in the first instance, one would make use of the uranium that is available in the country. India does have uranium. And one would therefore have what would be familiarly called uranium burners. But, these results were limited. Therefore, one could not go with a very large program on a long term basis. So the next step would be to proceed to breeder reactors, where more fuel was generated than consumed. And the third step would be to make use of the very large and abundant thorium reserves of the country because then one could convert to thorium 232 to thorium 233, which would glve rlse to uranium 233. And uranium 233 like uranium 235, is basically the material for power generation.
Interviewer
How supportive was the prime minister, Prime Minister Nehru, to his visions for nuclear energy?
Menon
Well from the beginning, the relationships between Homi Bhabha and General Nehru were exceedingly cordial. And Nehru had the fullest trust and confidence in Homi Bhabha. And supported his programs, fully. And Bhabha has paid very rich tributes to the support that he received from the prime minister. Right from the time India was free, until Jawaharlal's death in 1964.
Interviewer
If you could just sum up Homi Bhabha's legacy, what would you, how would you describe it?
Menon
His legacy was essentially, ah in terms of the fact that in what was regarded as an extremely complex, sophisticated, newly merging technology. He had the vision to embark India in this and he had the courage of his convictions. And he was able to generate a spirit of self confidence, particularly through the very large numbers of those imbued with his vision. With his sense of self confidence and self reliance, which formed today not only the scientist and the atomic program, energy program of India, but the cross will spread out into many other programs such as our space program and other areas of science and technology.
Interviewer
Would you describe him as one of your mentors in that sense?
Menon
I would say yes in a sense, though I didn't directly ahm do research with him in a formal sense. But ah I certainly interacted very closely with him, and there's a great deal. I learned, particularly his ah, his spirit of self confidence and dynamism. And of course a great deal of physics, there's no question about it.
United Nations Conference on the Peaceful Uses of Atomic Energy
Interviewer
How did India benefit from Atoms for Peace?
Menon
Well as you know the conference was ahm a very large conference, a very extensive international participation. Homi Bhabha was the president of the conference and gave both ah an outstanding presidential address as well as his summing up. And he said a great deal in it though unfortunately many people remember what he said at the conference in terms of his prediction. That in a couple of decades ah one would be on the verge of having abundant thermonuclear energy ah, but however a large part of what he said related to the need for energy. And the need for international cooperation. The fact that once knowledge becomes open, it can never be taken back. And very large numbers of our scientists participated for the first time in this major conference on the possibilities of nuclear energy. As a principle source of energy, particularly for countries like India.
Interviewer
How does that international cooperation manifest itself in the atomic energy program in the early days? I'm thinking of the CIRUS reactor and the Tarapur and so on...
To Make Deserts Bloom
Menon
Well actually ahm there was very significant cooperation in the early days of India's atomic energy program. This arose principally because one was in the period after the Second World War. There was a general euphoria relating to science, technology, the fact that never again did the world want another war. And ah we should do everything possible to ah, to rapidly bring about development, and so on. But apart from that ahm there was also the feature that Homi Bhabha had friends all over the world, and in fact many of the leaders of the atomic energy programs in the US, in Britian, in France, in the U.S.S.R, and so on, Canada, were very close friends of Homi Bhabha. So large numbers of our scientists trained in [Sacle], [Howell], Oakridge, Argonne, at Chalk River and ah, and returned. And similarly we had scientists from abroad who worked in the Indian atomic energy program and therefore, it was really a program in the right sense of international, scientific cooperation.
The development and use of technologies in India's nuclear program
Interviewer
Were you present at the openings of the CIRUS Trombay center?
Menon
Yes, I was there at the various occasions like ah Aspara, the first swimming pool reactor. The various occasions relating to the CIRUS reactor. The uranium metal plant, and floor fabrication facility to the plutonium plant. Various occasions that you referred to.
Interviewer
Do you remember any particular memories of those openings? Any anecdotes you can tell us?
Menon
Not anecdotes as such. Of course perhaps the most interesting ah event in that sense, of for the public affair was the fact that when the plutonium plant was to be formally dedicated. Our fall everything was more or less finished. They forgot that the actual ah plaque had to be unveiled, you know, and which the prime minister had to do. And so they had to go back. So that was an amusing slip up which I remember. A large audience. But there were, one important feature about most of those occasions was the fact that Bhabha was the sort of person who delivered, and then spoke about things. And usually did things ahead of time. He's not one of those who kept announcing what he would do, in that sense of the word. He was a very ah good example of ah delivering the goods so to say.
Interviewer
Can you just explain why India took the step, made the decision to go ahead with reprocessing. At what seems like an early stage, that was mid, well the end of the fifties the decision was taken. Can you explain why India took that decision?
Menon
Well I think Bhabha's papers clearly bring out the importance of having plutonium, or enriched uranium. And he has clearly also stated in his papers right from the beginning that any enrichment process which would have to proceed along the then known diffusion barrier technology. It would be very expensive. Certainly would consume an enormous amount of power. And plutonium was produced in a reactor, so large quantities were produced in power reactors. Therefore do you predict strength to plutonium and then make use of it for further steps along the ah power production route.
Interviewer
Now plutonium, as I understand it, can be used for two purposes. The civilian purpose and then there is the weapons purpose, the military purpose. Can you explain to us the difference between the technology involved in those two?
Menon
Well we are all aware that ahm when the first bombs were made in the Manhattan Project. One was made of plutonium, and the other was made of uranium 235. And therefore, it is known if you want to make nuclear explosive devices, you certainly need one of these materials, or you can, of course you can use uranium 233 also. The basic point is, uranium 235, is something which you would have to reduce, as I said a little earlier in terms of isotope-separation technologies, and this would mean special plants, large consumption of electricity, it's expensive. As far as plutonium is concerned, it is produced in a reactor system, and therefore, you can extract it. It is a chemical extraction and if you extract, you can use that plutonium as part of the nuclear power cycle. And therefore, it is something which is part of a regular nuclear reactor program for electricity generation. Now of course these are materials which can be used for producing nuclear explosions. And for that, one of course has to use completely different technologies. I mean a reactor is something where one is concerned with having a chain reaction on a control basis from where you extract the energy and then can work it to electricity. In the other it's an uncontrolled reaction which leads to an explosion.
Interviewer
Can you just explain to us how a crude device is actually build? What do you need in order to build a bomb?
Menon
Well that's a question which is ahm difficult to answer in terms of any details. All I can say as a physicist is ahm, with regard to the basic principles involved. The basic principles as everyone knows is that ahm we have a fission process. And in a fission process, you generate more neutrons. That's a neutron coming in will induce fissions. And in addition to fissions, there's more neutrons which are produced. So these can then produce more fissions, and more neutrons, and this is what's called the chain reaction. Now in the case of the reactor, since you need a controlled system, these neutrons are normally moderated, slowed down. In the case of course of ah so called fast breeder reactors, one is dependent on the fast neutrons, and not on the slowed down, slow neutrons. In the case of any explosive device, one allows the chain reactions to go ahead in rapid succession so that each chain reaction which results in each element of the chain reaction, which results in fissions, and neutron production will lead to more fissions, and more neutron production very rapidly. And this is what one would like to have. So far that one clearly requires a minimum mass of the material because otherwise soon you'll have neutrons going outside the mass and escaping into the air. So one wants to make use of them so you need adequate mass for the purpose, and adequate number of nuclei which can be fissioned. And there is therefore what is called the critical mass for this purpose. And once you have the critical mass, then of course, you would have enough succession of steps which take place in this very rapid fashion, ah which is essentially a run-away process resulting in an explosion because then you would have had enormous amounts of energy generated in the process.
Interviewer
How many countries have the know-how and and the expertise, and the materials to manufacture such a bomb?
Menon
Well this is again a very difficult question. We know of the countries which actually there are, as you know the so-called weapon countries as defined by...by IAEA. One which essentially the USA, the USSR, Britian, France, China. And these are the nuclear weapon countries. They have actually produced bombs, and have bombs available for use. Now with regard to other countries, there is a great deal of technical expertise in a whole range of countries in the world in terms of basic physics. Mainly to know about all the things that I just mentioned. Mainly what constitutes a critical mass? How do you moderate neutrons? How do you ahm, how do you calculate ahm various aspects relating to neutron behavior and solids and so on and so forth, and...and a whole lot of associated technologies and nuclear physics, and neutron physics, and...and bringing material together and so on and so forth. But it's very difficult to say. The final details of technology which any country possesses to produce an explosive device or for that matter as you say a bomb.
Interviewer
If you could just demonstrate how you get a critical mass and the materials you need in order to make a bomb as opposed to generating power? What are the differences again? If you could explain for us again.
Menon
Well as ahm you know the basic principle in the case of reactors of nuclear explosions and so on, is the nuclear fission process. And we're aware of the fact that in a material such as uranium 235 or plutonium, what happens is a fission, if you have a nucleus for instance. That nucleus breaks apart, and this is called a fission process. When it breaks apart, it also releases neutrons. And there's an energy release. So the fission process implys the breaking apart of a nucleus, the release of neutrons, and the release of energy. And these are the elements which characterize it. Now if you have a mass of this material, these neutrons will go into further nuclei, produce further fissioning, further neutrons are admitted, and with some energy release. And this goes on. Now in the case of a nuclear reactor, you are dealing with a controlled system which implies that ahm the neutrons are slowed down, and you have slow neutrons. And this is done using moderators like ahm, for example water, like...like nuclear a water, carbon, and so on can be used for the purpose. In the case of fast breeders, you're using the properties of fast neutrons. But they're all under control conditions. And you also have control rods in it, so that if there is any excess activity, the control rods are brought in, and they can absorb the existing neutrons. Now in the case of, for example, the physics of any explosive device, what would happen is that these neutrons which are produced through the chain reaction which is fissioning, release of neutrons, they go into more nuclei, more fissions, more neutrons. And this is called a chain reaction. This takes place very rapidly. And when it takes place rapidly, you will find that ah there's an enormous amount of energy released. But if you have only a very small mass of the material, the neutrons very rapidly get out into the air, and escape, and there's no more fissioning, no more chain reaction. It all stops. Therefore you do not have a real explosive process. If you have enough material, a large amount of the material, then quite clearly, there can be enough succession of fissions, neutron releases, more fissions, a chain reaction, energy released in order for it to reach explosive proportions. But quite clearly you can't have ah that amount of material just kept, because then you would have an explosion. I mean even, due to a variety of accidental situations. Therefore, quite clearly nobody would keep explosive material above a critical mass together. It is kept as separate pieces. The question is how does one bring it together, at the time when required. And one of the well-known things which have been defined is to bring separate pieces of matter together so that it ah is brought into a critical mass and this is one of the well-known things which are described in the so-called "textbook" many ah talk about with a viewpoint of nuclear explosions. But there are many...many elements in detail technology which go into all of this and this is what most of these nuclear weapons establishments presumably work on. And that is the reason why they continue to find these, and have more and more tests on a continuing basis.
Interviewer
Is there still a secret part to all this?
Menon
It depends what one means really by a secret part of these things. Because as you know, ahm there are many nuclear weapons countries today. And ah one knows the basic physics, if you wish, or the basic ah technical aspects which underly ah all these, whether it's ah a reactor or a nuclear explosive device. The main point about most of these things is having all the detailed information, and being able to do what is essentially a very sophisticated technical experiment. So if one can do a complex experiment in physics, one certainly can do these things. But you need to do those. There are many detail properties one needs to know in all of these cases.
Interviewer
If you can explain for us the PNE, the '74. Not the decisions which were taken, because you weren't privy to those, but again scientifically, what happened? What was the technology involved there? What happened essentially?
Menon
The PNE carried out by then, 1974, was ah essentially carried out ah below ground. And ahm it was to measure the nature of phenomena which would take place when one conducted such an explosion in terms of ah the fracturing of rocks, and ah the detail aspects of what happens to the ground because as you know, ah peaceful nuclear explosions ahm can be used for many purposes where you need single, large amounts of explosive power. And this is essentially for cratering purposes for ahm, for canals, river diversions, and things of this nature. So one would like to understand what really happens when a very large amount of explosive is actually delivered. I mean how...how does the ah, how does the ground behave, the geology, the details of it? And this was really the experiment conducted before.
Interviewer
Qas the explosion itself similar to a bomb? Was it a bomb explosion? What was the difference?
Menon
Well the point really about these things is it was an explosion. And ahm the target or objective in this particular case was to understand certain aspects...
The advances of India's nuclear energy and space programs
Interviewer
...How it differed from the old subject of the bomb.
Menon
Well I think um, basically the objective in the case of the peaceful nuclear explosion conducted Pokhran in 1974 was clearly to try to understand the phenomena relating to how the ground behaved in terms of cratering, in terms of solidification and uh, and so on, so forth. And therefore, uh, what are the aspects uh, one would uh, have to know about in terms of using it for any purposes uh, which involved geological work. Um, as I said in the case of oil, natural gas uh, other diversions... uh, blasting and -- which involved very large explosive part. Now uh, when you really talk about a bomb you're talking about an objective which is a destructive purpose where you want to deliver energy in a certain way which can either be blast energy; it can be heat energy; it can be radiation uh, from uh... from the radioactive materials and so on. And also you try to partition between these forms of energy and then consider what the delivery system is which may be an explosion in air at various uh, uh, heights above the ground, which may be an explosion on the ground itself. And therefore it is in relation to a target, an objective. And you are also concerned with certain types of efficiencies in, in uh, performing a certain end task. So therefore it's a very targeted, very specific objective of, of energy release in this particular form.
Interviewer
The technology however was the same.
Menon
Well as I said the basic physics in all of these things is the same. But when you talk of technology you have to relate it to the end objectives and therefore you specifically have to say you require a certain efficiency. And for example uh... take uh, take what was dropped over uh, Hiroshima and Nagasaki which is uh, the one or two examples we know of uh, actual nuclear bombs which were used over targets. They were to be carried in aircraft. So therefore they had to be related to what an aircraft would handle in terms of size, in terms of everything related to it and so on, so forth. So similarly uh, you could for instance have uh, an explosion and only have uh, uh, five percent efficiency or ten percent efficiency. You may have uh... you may have uh, seventy percent efficiency. All these details come into the picture in relation to an end objective. And so technology is really something which you must relate to what your end objective is. In physics it's, it's, it's common in, in all of these. They all arise from the same materials whether it's plutonium or uranium 235 -- it arises from the chain reaction. It arises from a, a... a non-control versus control. You're dealing with critical mass. These are all common elements of scientific terminology or principles which apply across. But uh, there are differences in end technologies in terms of what your objectives are.
Interviewer
The case of Pakistan -- in the last few years they've mastered uranium enrichment. What are the implications of this. And they say, "three percent, five percent." What does this all mean? Does it mean they can produce a bomb? Should we be worried about pakistan's capability?
Menon
It's a very difficult question to answer. Uh, all I would say is you said about enrichment. As you know in the case of uh... enrichment you need a certain degree of enrichment. That means a certain proportion of uranium 235 in the total uranium. And this is relatively small... small degree of enrichment when you want to use that in nuclear power generation. But when you want to use if for explosive purposes such as a bomb you have to certainly ask for much higher degrees of enrichment. Now I have no knowledge, no information with regard to the specific aspects of uh, enrichment carried out in Pakistan. The degree how far they've got to. Except newspaper reports and various claims which have been made which are also published in the newspapers. But the fact of the matter is that once you proceed along that pathway to enrichment you certainly finally land up with material. And this material, uranium 235, is basic material with which bombs can be made. So one is concerned about proliferation.
Interviewer
If Pakistan was to go ahead with a test, what would be India's reply to that?
Menon
That's a very difficult question to answer and certainly not an answer I would like to give because it really is a political question and which should be dealt with in uh, by the, by those concerned with uh, political policy making. The basic point I was really trying to make is that uh, it's very difficult to keep uh, aspects in science really secret for too long. There can of course be lead times available in the sense that uh, someone has a discovery or someone has...
Interviewer
Lets do that again.
Menon
The basic point I was trying to make is that in science it's very difficult to keep things secret for too long. There can of course be lead time, some lead times which can be measured in months or even years for that matter. But at some stage or the other people who are determined working with a very definite objective will through basic scientific principles arive at the same place. And this is rendered enormously easier if you know it's been done before. The -- Of course the fact is if you're doing it for the first time then there is a problem. And this is a b... I mean the same question about the nuclear bomb area. What was really remarkable was the fact that the Manhattan Project succeeded so magnificently in that time frame. And the very first test at Alamagordo was successful. That was remarkable. And uh, in fact, uh, two objects prepared, one of plutonium 1 and one uranium 235 one both dropped unfortunately over Japan, Hiroshima and Nagasaki both worked. But afterwards once it was known that these things existed and worked and this is the route, it was only a matter of time before anyone determine to do it -- the Soviet Union was determined and did. Britain was in the know-how, did it. France did it. China has done it. And other country with really good capability in what I would call advanced physics experimentation. And all the instrumentation and things which go with it. Can do these things. Of course there's -- they deal of chemistry and so on. A-and not of stici... physics.
Interviewer
Perhaps some of the Carter legislation was somewhat misguided then; the idea of being able to control proliferation by technical means, by stopping supplies and exports...
Menon
Yes. I think these are uh, these can only serve a purpose in a limited sense. If one is concerned about months or weeks or years and so on, but not really in the long term. And um, I think in the long term when people are determined they'll manage to get the information. You cannot really keep knowlege back.
Interviewer
Can I ask you about the origins of the Indian space program, what it set out to achieve and what your involvement was?
Menon
The Indian space program was of course obviously triggered by the... uh, fantastic event of 1957 -- the Sputnik. And uh, the excitement of it. But the very first element was of course a feeling amongst people working in cosmic rays that instead of having to do experiments with the ground... uh, you know, looking at the universe like a frog sitting in the bottom of a well, we can now get to the surface of the well and look out... uh, and uh, and see things in a much clearer fashion. And therefore one could get out on... rockets and satellites and do all these experiments. But um, Vikram Sarabhai, who was one of the cosmic ray physicists and is working with uh, these ground base experiments had also visions of the applications which are inherent in any such effort. And this I think is very fundamental and important. India as you know is a large country, subcontinental dimensions. And when you really look at -- back when one was envisioning the space program you straight away see a picture of a country with practically no broadcasting system other than at a few places, the big urban centers. Telecommunications also restricted to the big cities or smaller towns if you wish to and so on. Now suddenly you have the possibility of satellites and then of course the question of geostationary satellites that came on quite rapidly. Mid-'60s one could start them talking of telecommunications, of broadcasting, particularly television, on a national basis and reach out to every point without this advantage... and viewed from the view stationing orbit. And of course remote sensing, to be able to look for many, many things whether it's mineralization, pollution, forest cover, agriculture, water resources, snow melt, forestry -- anything you wish to from this vantage point. And therefore that became the basis for pushing ahead with a major space program. The very first things done in space were in terms of science experiments. The first rockets and the first experiments and so on. But it rapidly got converted in a few years. Through this vision of Vikram Sarabhai of the use of space technology for development. And in a sense uh, this has a great analogy with the vision Bhabha had of nuclear power for development.
Interviewer
Where were you in July, 1980 at the time of the test? Were you directly involved with that, the SLV3 test?
Menon
The satellite launch... You mean the launch uh, at uh, Sriharikota...
Interviewer
Yeah.
Menon
No, I was not there. I mean these are matters where it makes very little difference whether you're physically on the spot or not.
Interviewer
I wondered if it felt like a period of great achievement. If you felt a sense of achievement and pride?
Menon
Yes. It is -- everyone of those wars -- I mean, I certainly remember um... I mean... the first satellite was built, was launched by the Soviet Union, the Aryabhata. And uh, it is satellite built, completely designed, fabricated, built here. And it worked. So each one of these is an achievement. Course you don't have to be physically there. That's only more... if I may say, uh, like a tourist. You can have always an interest in the matter.
Interviewer
People, when they're concerned about prolifeation, they're alway referring to the delivery potentials that India has a result of its space program. Could you comment on this? Does India have military designs in terms of its space program?
Menon
You see the main point is: that one has to recognize that um... if one goes back in history, if you look at every single sentence which has been wrote... I mean I can quote to you chapter and verse on what Bhabha has written from 1944 onwards and you will find there was not one sentence in it... relating to nuclear energy being used other than for peaceful purposes. Throughout the one thread that runs through Bhabha's papers is the manner in which one would generate more energy for development. If you look at everything that Vikram Sarabhai has written on the space program. And that is basically what uh, underlies our space program. You will find the feeling of excitement in using space for development, the new opportunities which have never existed before whereby one can transform. One does not have to go through the pathway everyone else has gone before. But uses new opportunity to leapfrog into the future. That's what uh, lies... But quite clearly anything can be used for destructive purposes. There's no question about it. Uh, I mean certainly all capabilities relating to rocket systems to put satellites into orbit can be converted into the science systems. All capabilities relating to the, uh, to the physics and technology of uh, chain reactions and fission and, and uh, and, and uh... using uranium or uh, plutonium or whatever it is can be converted to uh, essentially explosive purposes. There's no question about it. But those are two sides of a coin in any case and -- but India's purposes have been very clearly defined. And let me just ask a worse question. If India's intentions really were to make these and in principle we conducted the peaceful nuclear explosion in 1974, it's the first -- and now we are in 1987 and a second has not been conducted, does the world have an explanation for it?
Interviewer
How do you envision the next ten years in the nuclear age?
Menon
You're talking of the world as a whole?
Interviewer
The world as a whole and India.
Menon
I think um, we are at a very difficult stage from the viewpoint of uh, the whole nuclear area... for multiple reasons. One of course there is at the moment in many parts of the world as a result of Chernobyl question relating to safety. And safety aspects of uh, all types -- there are those who are of course uh, afraid of the whole new, greens if you wish to, afraid of the nuclear area in terms of uh, radioactivity, contamination, accidents, minor, major and so on. Others were even afraid of it in terms of uh, what might happen if uh, even in the case of a conventional war. We have seen wars all over. For instance, one has seen in the case of the Iran-Iraq war uh, bombing of uh, cities and so on, so forth. Now if these are nuclear reactor systems and they were bombed what would happen? Things of this nature. There are many questions. So people are very disturbed about it in, in the general sense of... On the other hand, I think uh, one sees from many countries -- certainly France, Japan to the extent uh, uh, that it can possibly go. The Soviet Union proceeding still with nuclear power on a very significant basis. But these questions will continue to be raised on, on safety, on hazards, on uh, um, accidents and so on. As far as the nuclear weapon scenario is concerned we have uh, certainly got to an overkill situation. Uh, it's grossly over all limits. And uh, one is in a very I think uh... catastrophic uh, position at the present moment, particularly of the view point of anything happening which could be by error, accident, uh, wrong decisions. And um, one should make every effort to wind down, to go back. And this must be done as early as possible because one just cannot afford the risk of anything which corresponds to a nuclear exchange or a holocaust. As far as India is concerned uh, in spite of what I have just mentioned to you about the uh, questions of nuclear safety and so on; we are proceeding as you probably are well aware with a nuclear power program. The target is to reach ten thousand megawatts of nuclear power by the year 2000. And this will be in a total power production in the country of around a hundred thousand megawatts. So about ten percent from the current figure which is just under three percent. So we are preceeding on increasing the percentage of nuclear power in the total. And this is essentially because we need to increase power availability, energy availability in the country. We are at such low levels still today from the viewpoint of uh, any developmental activities. And we still believe in the basic principles which Bhabha had talked about. Namely that energy is the key to development. And we know that energy is available through all the conventional means, uh, thermal. We don't have oil certainly for burning. It's only coal. Hydral, we're tapping it. And it's needed for various purposes like mount load factor in terms of uh, peaking load and so on, so forth. But where do we get all the power we need? We're also proceeding along the pathways many others would advocate.
The hope of India's nuclear program
Interviewer
What are the risks of terrorists actually obtaining plutonium and making a simple device?
Menon
Well I mean certainly the risks are there of uh, sabotage in nuclear installations. And certainly there can be thefts. On the other hand, there making in the sense of any ad hoc group uh, making nuclear devices out of this are not very great. But the risks are certainly there. There's no question about it. And um, we will have to uh, certainly keep that in mind in, in, in -- as the world develops and one has more and more availability of uh, of nuclear materials. But on the other hand um, one can also say that it'll, it'll be... certainly something which is very untowardif an event like that took place which could be a small explosive device. Uh, nobody would want to see that happen. But it's a very different scenario from anything which would involve a nuclear exchange between the superpowers. That is really the end of the world in many, many ways. Not only in terms of a thousandmillion or more directly involved. And whether you believe in the nuclear winter scenario or not the fact remains that such a nuclear exchange may trigger off ecological reactions which may be totally irreversible. And I think all the evidence so far is that they would be quite hazardous. How disastrous for how many may be a matter which is debated. But certainly quite disastrous.
Interviewer
We talked a lot about Nehru and Bhabha in the early days. Did Mrs. Gandhi share the same views about nuclear energy as her father? Was she as supportive?
Menon
She was fully supportive of uh, the whole atomic energy program of India. And she subscribed to all these facets, namely that India needed power. Nuclear power would be one means -- not the only means but one and important means of ensuring that India did develop rapidly and get the necessary power needed for this purpose. But um, I'd like remind you of a statement she made when she was at the what is now called the Indira Gandhi center for atomic research in Madras. And she said then -- I don't remember the exact quotation but something to the effect that what we want is not to make deserts but to make the deserts bloom. That is a hope in the nuclear energy program.



